And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–16 on winners spread MAE 9.6 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Colorado @ Iowa State +15.9 149.9 89% 67–97 ✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern +4.4 161.2 65% 84–75 ✗
Longwood @ South Carolina Upstate +0.2 144.7 49% 60–65 ✓
New Haven @ Mercyhurst +3.9 122.9 55% 51–70 ✓
Le Moyne @ Long Island University +5.7 142.1 74% 61–83 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Stonehill +0.9 132.9 51% 57–58 ✓
UMBC @ Vermont +5.1 138.5 70% 55–64 ✓
Stony Brook @ Campbell +4.0 147.5 75% 81–69 ✗
William & Mary @ Elon +1.1 161.2 63% 76–79 ✓
Hampton @ Drexel +4.0 131.8 62% 51–58 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Monmouth +6.4 141.0 80% 81–83 ✓
Charleston @ Hofstra +4.9 147.3 70% 66–64 ✗
VMI @ The Citadel +2.7 144.3 58% 56–80 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Mercer +10.5 154.4 86% 77–95 ✓
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +11.6 144.6 87% 90–88 ✗
James Madison @ Troy +11.2 154.1 85% 73–64 ✗
Stetson @ North Florida +2.0 157.1 62% 84–77 ✗
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.5 146.6 81% 64–72 ✓
Lipscomb @ Jacksonville -4.9 142.4 26% 65–70 ✗
Liberty @ Middle Tennessee -0.0 140.8 50% 81–65 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Wagner -0.2 139.6 48% 62–55 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State +0.1 133.1 49% 65–67 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Memphis +2.5 147.3 63% 65–92 ✓
Penn State @ Northwestern +8.4 143.1 76% 73–94 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota +5.1 151.9 74% 69–77 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +12.8 150.7 87% 81–80 ✗
Georgia State @ Louisiana -2.5 129.9 34% 72–82 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama +4.8 143.2 69% 48–53 ✓
App State @ Southern Miss +0.3 134.3 53% 70–63 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Arizona -1.5 143.9 45% 86–92 ✗
Southern Utah @ UT Arlington +10.5 143.2 86% 61–80 ✓
Utah Valley @ Tarleton State -3.2 150.9 42% 83–55 ✓
Utah Tech @ Abilene Christian +1.7 140.5 63% 76–70 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southern Indiana -2.5 147.2 42% 73–60 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Illinois -4.3 126.9 32% 76–68 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Western Illinois -8.1 136.0 22% 78–74 ✓
Little Rock @ Tennessee State +6.4 147.5 75% 63–70 ✓
Washington @ Illinois +13.0 150.9 87% 66–75 ✓
Presbyterian @ High Point +17.2 149.6 89% 81–84 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Towson -1.1 130.4 50% 82–73 ✓
Idaho @ Northern Colorado +2.3 149.6 64% 83–91 ✓
Cal Poly @ Cal State Bakersfield +0.2 155.7 62% 104–79 ✗
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +1.2 143.6 58% 61–71 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge +2.2 154.6 60% 78–94 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ UC San Diego +6.5 143.5 79% 62–48 ✗
Montana State @ Sacramento State -6.8 151.5 31% 80–83 ✗
Montana @ Portland State +3.3 142.9 65% 64–60 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Irvine +2.5 136.8 57% 76–87 ✓
Georgia Southern @ UL Monroe -8.3 159.3 19% 79–76 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +4.8 156.6 63% 64–87 ✓
Kent State @ Akron +11.4 164.0 84% 52–69 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +9.3 158.3 83% 76–85 ✓
Siena @ Niagara -10.6 126.0 15% 82–79 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.