Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -2400 COLO +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +30 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -18.8 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -15.9 (+14.1) | 149.9 (+14.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -16.4 (+13.6) | 153.0 (+11.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -16.2 (+13.8) | 154.0 (+10.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -17.0 (+13.0) | 154.1 (+9.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | ISU 79 – 65 COLO |
| Dec 31, 2024 | ISU 79 – 69 COLO |
| Nov 27, 2024 | ISU 99 – 71 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-5 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 80.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 79.8 |
| Massey | 23.1 (#5) | 7.4 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.90 (#11) | 1.26 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.85 (#12) | 1.82 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#17) | 0.535 (#107) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 40.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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