Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -18.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -3000 COLO +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +14 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -17.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ISU -14.7 (-0.7) | 139.6 (+4.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ISU -15.6 (-1.6) | 141.2 (+2.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -15.6 (-1.6) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -16.1 (-2.1) | 140.4 (+3.6) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | ISU 97 – 67 COLO |
| Dec 31, 2024 | ISU 79 – 69 COLO |
| Nov 27, 2024 | ISU 99 – 71 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 3-17 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.3 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#11) | 5.6 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#15) | 0.54 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.58 (#22) | 0.77 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#25) | 0.485 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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