I know you're dissatisfied with your position and your place. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Big 12 Conference · CU Events Center · December 31, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread ISU -9.5 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money COLO +380 / ISU -550
Model Predictions
Spread Total COLO win
Actual ISU +10 148 Lost
Massey ISU -8.0 (-2.0)
Massey Totals 151.2 (-3.2)
Bradley-Terry 30%
Weighted B-T 8%
Efficiency Plus ML ISU -5.2 (-4.8) 143.9 (+4.1) 27%
Baseline Tuned ML ISU -4.5 (-5.5) 146.2 (+1.8) 31%
Baseline ML ISU -5.9 (-4.1) 145.9 (+2.1) 32%
Baseline Plus ML ISU -5.8 (-4.2) 147.2 (+0.8) 26%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 30, 2026 ISU 9767 COLO
Feb 19, 2025 ISU 7965 COLO
Nov 27, 2024 ISU 9971 COLO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COLO ISU
Overall 14-21 25-10
Conference 3-17 13-7
Home 11-7 15-2
Away 0-10 6-5
Neutral 3-4 4-3
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 69.7 80.3
Avg Pts Against 71.9 68.3
Massey 6.6 (#86) 18.9 (#10)
Bradley-Terry 2.47 (#35) 4.12 (#5)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.74 (#55) 6.00 (#4)
RPI 0.562 (#77) 0.604 (#35)
Shooting & Four Factors COLO ISU
FG% 47.2% 51.3%
3PT% 37.2% 35.1%
REB / G 37.3 36.5
OREB / G 9.4 10.8
AST / TO 1.20 1.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.3% 57.6%
TOV% 20.1% 13.4%
ORB% 29.1% 33.6%
FT Rate 29.2% 30.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 47.8%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 22.5%
DRB% 75.6% 74.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.4% 19.5%

Game Analysis

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