Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UCSD -180 UCSB +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +14 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | UCSD -6.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-42.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -5.8 (-19.8) | 145.8 (-35.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -6.5 (-20.5) | 143.5 (-33.5) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -5.7 (-19.7) | 145.2 (-35.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -5.9 (-19.9) | 147.2 (-37.2) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UCSD 64 – 63 UCSB |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCSD 69 – 51 UCSB |
| Jan 24, 2025 | UCSD 77 – 63 UCSB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCSD 84 – 76 UCSB |
| Feb 16, 2024 | UCSD 61 – 46 UCSB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 11-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 4.7 (#105) | 1.2 (#145) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#108) | 0.15 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#101) | 0.08 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#103) | 0.504 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.4% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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