I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–15 on winners spread MAE 9.0 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ Tennessee +5.2 150.9 79% 84–92 ✓
Providence @ Marquette +9.8 147.1 83% 69–91 ✓
Louisville @ Duke +21.1 151.7 91% 59–84 ✓
North Texas @ Tulane -2.1 144.8 28% 80–76 ✓
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate +1.7 142.0 66% 72–74 ✓
Winthrop @ High Point +5.8 155.7 79% 96–100 ✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern -3.9 140.3 35% 57–58 ✗
Northwestern @ Maryland +3.2 131.7 61% 68–61 ✗
Stetson @ Jacksonville -1.1 140.5 41% 86–73 ✓
DePaul @ Xavier +19.0 150.1 90% 58–91 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -12.3 134.3 15% 77–58 ✓
Lafayette @ Navy +2.3 131.7 59% 58–62 ✓
La Salle @ Duquesne +9.1 143.7 83% 63–75 ✓
Bucknell @ Loyola Maryland -2.7 129.9 36% 68–46 ✓
Mercer @ Chattanooga +7.3 146.9 77% 75–84 ✓
Furman @ Western Carolina +2.7 145.4 58% 77–85 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel -0.6 135.8 44% 81–63 ✓
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +17.7 147.2 90% 58–100 ✓
Samford @ Wofford -4.8 157.1 31% 69–91 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris -0.9 143.9 49% 70–60 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -10.1 151.3 16% 75–70 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +5.4 139.7 75% 69–61 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Wright State +3.5 164.6 62% 79–77 ✗
James Madison @ Georgia State -8.6 150.3 20% 84–78 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia Southern -0.7 148.8 45% 73–87 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida +2.4 143.7 57% 79–60 ✗
Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina -6.4 155.2 26% 71–60 ✓
Oklahoma @ Iowa State +8.7 137.4 83% 45–58 ✓
California @ Colorado +13.1 153.4 86% 78–88 ✓
UCF @ Oklahoma State +0.2 143.0 46% 77–71 ✗
Tulsa @ UTSA +1.7 156.7 65% 73–89 ✓
Wichita State @ UAB +7.3 145.7 77% 74–66 ✗
Temple @ Rice +2.2 147.1 58% 65–43 ✗
Drake @ UIC -8.7 146.2 22% 107–105 ✓
Belmont @ Murray State +1.3 148.7 56% 83–61 ✗
Missouri State @ Illinois State +0.1 134.5 59% 74–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -11.0 155.4 20% 85–67 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +5.9 136.1 74% 67–86 ✓
Richmond @ Saint Louis -5.9 148.4 29% 80–64 ✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb +9.8 148.2 85% 74–90 ✓
Southern Miss @ South Alabama +1.4 145.1 59% 70–73 ✓
Troy @ Louisiana +2.6 147.1 67% 87–73 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay +1.1 147.8 54% 79–83 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky -1.9 142.5 42% 90–84 ✓
South Carolina @ Texas A&M +3.8 135.1 65% 70–68 ✗
St. John's @ Butler +0.2 151.5 56% 82–59 ✗
Seton Hall @ Creighton +10.3 149.4 83% 64–85 ✓
Minnesota @ Illinois +13.1 160.0 87% 97–105 ✓
Alabama @ Ole Miss -8.5 172.3 22% 103–88 ✓
Virginia @ Boston College -0.0 132.2 43% 72–68 ✓
Arizona @ Arizona State -11.7 159.3 15% 85–67 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +11.5 140.9 87% 71–78 ✓
Maine @ Binghamton -0.4 133.8 46% 74–76 ✗
Nebraska @ Ohio State +2.2 142.6 59% 69–78 ✓
Bryant @ UMass Lowell +7.1 155.8 76% 67–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.