I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–13 on winners spread MAE 8.3 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -10.0 134.2 22% 65–66 ✗
Iowa State @ West Virginia +3.4 135.1 76% 71–76 ✓
Memphis @ South Florida -4.4 156.3 29% 99–81 ✓
Lehigh @ Colgate +11.3 142.7 84% 53–81 ✓
American University @ Boston University +1.6 125.2 64% 54–60 ✓
Belmont @ Missouri State +2.5 137.1 65% 59–61 ✓
Valparaiso @ Indiana State +10.1 151.3 85% 62–84 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State -3.0 150.2 37% 76–67 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +0.3 137.5 64% 68–70 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia Tech +12.6 138.1 85% 82–76 ✗
Vermont @ Maine -4.7 137.4 25% 74–65 ✓
NJIT @ UMBC +9.5 143.7 81% 63–72 ✓
Bryant @ UAlbany -7.6 149.0 25% 87–62 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +4.4 131.7 67% 66–64 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy +8.7 134.3 83% 65–71 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington -1.5 143.0 43% 105–107 ✗
Massachusetts @ Fordham +4.3 145.3 71% 67–77 ✓
La Salle @ St. Bonaventure +7.7 136.3 75% 76–70 ✗
George Mason @ Duquesne +3.4 137.5 67% 52–75 ✓
Presbyterian @ Longwood +12.0 127.9 85% 46–66 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate +2.9 140.9 59% 60–77 ✓
High Point @ Campbell +4.4 144.6 70% 66–82 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +4.2 146.0 66% 95–91 ✗
Samford @ Mercer -2.1 140.4 40% 70–69 ✓
Furman @ VMI -12.5 147.9 15% 94–63 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +11.9 147.5 86% 63–82 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +15.2 152.7 88% 71–103 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +8.8 139.5 82% 61–93 ✓
Elon @ North Carolina A&T +3.4 143.2 62% 61–66 ✓
Hampton @ Towson +16.6 139.7 88% 72–86 ✓
Drexel @ Delaware +1.2 132.7 58% 58–54 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Hartford -5.8 129.3 24% 82–73 ✓
Tulsa @ Houston +24.0 137.4 90% 42–80 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +17.9 152.7 88% 62–74 ✓
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State +6.1 138.4 76% 68–71 ✓
UCF @ Wichita State -2.0 135.9 37% 72–67 ✓
Temple @ SMU -1.3 143.6 44% 71–72 ✗
UIC @ Southern Illinois +11.5 132.5 86% 66–68 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Evansville -10.8 139.7 18% 59–71 ✗
Bradley @ Illinois State -7.5 134.1 22% 79–61 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +8.2 138.9 80% 55–71 ✓
DePaul @ Villanova +8.2 141.7 82% 65–81 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State +5.0 130.2 64% 79–74 ✗
Florida @ Alabama +11.4 152.9 87% 69–97 ✓
Oklahoma @ Baylor +11.2 138.6 87% 72–82 ✓
LSU @ Mississippi State +9.0 126.2 80% 53–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago +1.6 142.1 56% 83–71 ✗
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +6.2 145.0 78% 67–78 ✓
San Diego State @ Utah State +2.2 144.7 59% 63–61 ✗
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +7.1 144.0 81% 71–75 ✓
UNLV @ Wyoming -2.3 144.9 32% 69–59 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn -4.7 124.3 33% 62–64 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis +0.7 148.5 56% 76–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.