Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -1600 IUIN +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +32 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -19.3 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -16.2 (+15.8) | 153.1 (+20.9) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -15.2 (+16.8) | 152.7 (+21.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -14.3 (+17.7) | 152.8 (+21.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -15.6 (+16.4) | 154.1 (+19.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-6 | 4-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#186) | -16.5 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#234) | -3.50 (#362) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#231) | -4.05 (#362) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#244) | 0.349 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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