Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | ME +350 UVM -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +9 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -2.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -2.7 (-6.3) | 137.8 (+1.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -4.7 (-4.3) | 137.4 (+1.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -1.7 (-7.3) | 137.9 (+1.1) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -1.7 (-7.3) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ME 76 – 70 UVM |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UVM 67 – 62 ME |
| Mar 11, 2025 | ME 57 – 42 UVM |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UVM 65 – 61 ME |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UVM 55 – 49 ME |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 14-2 |
| Home | 8-4 | 13-1 |
| Away | 5-12 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#241) | 1.9 (#136) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#273) | 0.34 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#259) | 0.18 (#153) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#270) | 0.548 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 76.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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