Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | VT -1000 BC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +6 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -14.3 (-20.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+21.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -11.6 (-17.6) | 138.9 (+19.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -12.6 (-18.6) | 138.1 (+19.9) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -11.5 (-17.5) | 139.8 (+18.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -11.3 (-17.3) | 140.1 (+17.9) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | VT 72 – 63 BC |
| Feb 19, 2025 | BC 54 – 36 VT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | VT 76 – 71 BC |
| Dec 21, 2022 | BC 70 – 65 VT |
| Jan 22, 2022 | BC 68 – 63 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#52) | -1.4 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#60) | 0.10 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#53) | 0.25 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#55) | 0.491 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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