Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | VT -800 BC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | VT -12.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -13.0 (-4.0) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -9.7 (-0.7) | 145.4 (-10.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -12.2 (-3.2) | 142.1 (-7.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VT -12.8 (-3.8) | 143.2 (-8.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2025 | BC 54 – 36 VT |
| Jan 24, 2024 | VT 76 – 71 BC |
| Feb 9, 2023 | BC 82 – 76 VT |
| Dec 21, 2022 | BC 70 – 65 VT |
| Jan 22, 2022 | BC 68 – 63 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 11-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#55) | 1.3 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#46) | -0.28 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.55 (#49) | -0.18 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#44) | 0.474 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 67.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
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