Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | GW +100 RICH -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +2 | 212 | Won |
| Massey | RICH -0.3 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.9 (+68.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -0.1 (+2.1) | 146.2 (+65.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -1.5 (+3.5) | 143.0 (+69.0) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -0.5 (+1.5) | 145.1 (+66.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.1 (+2.1) | 146.4 (+65.6) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | GW 85 – 69 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2025 | GW 99 – 85 RICH |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GW 75 – 66 RICH |
| Dec 31, 2024 | RICH 66 – 61 GW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | RICH 90 – 74 GW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#219) | 1.3 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#213) | 0.05 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#220) | 0.33 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#216) | 0.513 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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