Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | COLG -800 LEH +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +28 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | COLG -11.5 (+16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -10.4 (+17.6) | 143.7 (-9.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -11.3 (+16.7) | 142.7 (-8.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -9.4 (+18.6) | 143.4 (-9.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -9.7 (+18.3) | 143.6 (-9.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | LEH 76 – 69 COLG |
| Jan 31, 2026 | LEH 77 – 76 COLG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LEH 78 – 77 COLG |
| Feb 3, 2025 | LEH 94 – 68 COLG |
| Jan 9, 2025 | COLG 67 – 62 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 11-4 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.6 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.0 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#123) | -4.9 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#142) | -0.29 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#124) | -0.48 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#126) | 0.502 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLG | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 40.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.59 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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