You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Southern Conference · Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · February 9, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -5.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money WOF -200 / WCU +210
Model Predictions
Spread Total WOF win
Actual WCU +4 186 Lost
Massey WOF -5.1 (-9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 144.4 (+41.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 73% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 72% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WOF -3.4 (-7.4) 149.0 (+37.0) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WOF -4.2 (-8.2) 146.0 (+40.0) 66% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -4.1 (-8.1) 147.4 (+38.6) 67% ✗
Baseline ML WOF -3.2 (-7.2) 149.4 (+36.6) 67% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 WOF 77 – 66 WCU
Dec 31, 2025 WOF 79 – 74 WCU
Feb 27, 2025 WOF 90 – 67 WCU
Jan 9, 2025 WOF 77 – 69 WCU
Feb 3, 2024 WOF 88 – 86 WCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WOF WCU
Overall 17-16 18-16
Conference 8-10 10-8
Home 12-4 9-5
Away 4-11 6-9
Neutral 1-1 3-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 72.3 70.5
Avg Pts Against 74.0 72.7
Massey -3.0 (#226) -4.6 (#248)
Bradley-Terry -0.60 (#235) -0.95 (#271)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.92 (#246) -1.15 (#269)
RPI 0.464 (#248) 0.453 (#269)
Shooting & Four Factors WOF WCU
FG% 45.2% 41.7%
3PT% 32.3% 32.6%
REB / G 31.4 34.1
OREB / G 8.9 9.3
AST / TO 1.10 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 48.8%
TOV% 16.4% 16.1%
ORB% 27.7% 25.7%
FT Rate 22.0% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.8% 51.9%
Opp TOV% 16.8% 17.1%
DRB% 71.9% 75.2%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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