Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | WYO +138 UNLV -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +10 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | UNLV -3.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-19.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -4.3 (-5.7) | 147.1 (-19.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -2.3 (-7.7) | 144.9 (-16.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -3.5 (-6.5) | 146.3 (-18.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -3.7 (-6.3) | 146.9 (-18.9) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UNLV 73 – 70 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WYO 98 – 66 UNLV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 57 WYO |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WYO 63 – 61 UNLV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNLV 75 – 69 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 9-7 |
| Away | 1-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#173) | 6.6 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#237) | 1.11 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#221) | 1.71 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#225) | 0.563 (#68) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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