Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +350 TENN -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -13.3 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -10.0 (+11.0) | 135.6 (-4.6) | 25% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -10.0 (+11.0) | 134.2 (-3.2) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -10.7 (+11.7) | 135.3 (-4.3) | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.8 (+12.8) | 136.0 (-5.0) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-15 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-6 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 57.9 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#113) | 20.6 (#2) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#91) | 2.89 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#99) | 3.38 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#83) | 0.630 (#11) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 39.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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