Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -450 CIT +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -12.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -10.7 (+8.3) | 148.0 (-3.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -11.9 (+7.1) | 147.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -9.9 (+9.1) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -9.4 (+9.6) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 6-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#189) | -9.6 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#239) | -1.73 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#225) | -1.95 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#206) | 0.417 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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