Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +400 UNI -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +12 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -8.6 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -8.8 (+20.8) | 142.7 (-12.7) | 20% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -10.8 (+22.8) | 139.7 (-9.7) | 18% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -8.1 (+20.1) | 142.0 (-12.0) | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -8.6 (+20.6) | 143.2 (-13.2) | 20% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | UNI 62 – 48 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-27 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 9-11 |
| Home | 3-10 | 8-8 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.4 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#350) | -0.7 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#340) | -0.24 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#341) | -0.20 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#338) | 0.493 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 77.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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