Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UALB +400 BRY -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UALB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +25 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -7.1 (-17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -7.5 (-17.5) | 152.5 (-3.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -7.6 (-17.4) | 149.0 (-0.0) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -8.0 (-17.0) | 150.7 (-1.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -7.4 (-17.6) | 151.4 (-2.4) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | UALB 65 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UALB 71 – 46 BRY |
| Mar 12, 2025 | BRY 91 – 78 UALB |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UALB 68 – 63 BRY |
| Jan 16, 2025 | BRY 89 – 79 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UALB | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 17-13 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 8-8 |
| Home | 5-6 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-16 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#341) | -0.5 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#345) | 0.29 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.69 (#346) | -0.13 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#332) | 0.527 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UALB | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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