Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | ILST +350 BRAD -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ILST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +18 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -8.4 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -7.7 (-10.3) | 135.4 (+4.6) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -7.5 (-10.5) | 134.1 (+5.9) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -7.0 (-11.0) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -7.1 (-10.9) | 136.8 (+3.2) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | BRAD 74 – 60 ILST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | ILST 88 – 62 BRAD |
| Feb 20, 2025 | ILST 82 – 71 BRAD |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BRAD 61 – 57 ILST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | BRAD 48 – 45 ILST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 16-4 |
| Home | 8-7 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#253) | 7.3 (#75) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#253) | 1.00 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#264) | 1.16 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#276) | 0.567 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ILST | BRAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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