Betting Lines
| Spread | LONG -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | LONG -600 PRES +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LONG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +20 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | LONG -14.8 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (-16.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LONG -10.9 (+9.1) | 131.1 (-19.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LONG -12.0 (+8.0) | 127.9 (-15.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LONG -11.0 (+9.0) | 131.5 (-19.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LONG -10.6 (+9.4) | 131.6 (-19.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | PRES 72 – 65 LONG |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LONG 77 – 70 PRES |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRES 77 – 68 LONG |
| Jan 2, 2025 | PRES 68 – 60 LONG |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LONG 81 – 73 PRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LONG | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-8 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L18 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 70.4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#148) | -10.1 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#209) | -2.95 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#199) | -3.12 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#191) | 0.348 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LONG | PRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.