Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | OKST -250 TTU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -6.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -6.8 (-3.8) | 139.2 (-0.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -6.1 (-3.1) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -6.5 (-3.5) | 139.6 (-0.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -7.1 (-4.1) | 140.7 (-1.7) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | TTU 102 – 80 OKST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TTU 93 – 55 OKST |
| Jan 26, 2025 | TTU 64 – 54 OKST |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TTU 75 – 58 OKST |
| Jan 10, 2024 | TTU 90 – 73 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-6 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#31) | 9.2 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.84 (#46) | 0.94 (#90) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.61 (#33) | 1.25 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#49) | 0.506 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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