Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | VMI +1000 FUR -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VMI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +31 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -13.2 (-17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -12.3 (-18.7) | 148.0 (+9.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -12.5 (-18.5) | 147.9 (+9.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -12.5 (-18.5) | 149.3 (+7.7) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -12.2 (-18.8) | 151.0 (+6.0) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 15-3 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-14 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#344) | 5.3 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#352) | 0.79 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.02 (#352) | 0.94 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#343) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VMI | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 15.1% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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