And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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56–15 on winners spread MAE 7.3 71 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ Merrimack +5.8 129.4 67% 61–64 ✓
Army @ George Washington +9.2 155.0 81% 60–75 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana Tech +10.5 145.6 85% 63–77 ✓
North Dakota @ UTSA +6.4 147.5 73% 76–80 ✓
Indiana @ Nebraska +4.4 148.5 64% 68–85 ✓
Omaha @ Northern Iowa +16.9 139.2 88% 58–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +13.5 148.7 86% 71–77 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Tech +1.4 141.0 52% 73–71 ✗
South Dakota State @ Colorado +7.0 143.7 74% 70–81 ✓
Memphis @ Clemson +7.9 140.2 76% 87–82 ✗
Texas A&M @ Purdue +4.1 138.5 66% 70–66 ✗
Western Illinois @ South Dakota +9.5 152.6 83% 66–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Furman +10.7 132.7 84% 64–68 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri +22.7 144.4 91% 61–88 ✓
Coppin State @ Penn State +25.0 145.4 91% 51–99 ✓
Ohio State @ Auburn +12.9 155.3 83% 53–91 ✓
Toledo @ Youngstown State +2.9 145.0 61% 87–93 ✓
Lamar @ Louisiana -4.1 140.4 33% 74–45 ✓
Wichita State @ DePaul +6.8 146.0 70% 72–91 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville +2.8 145.9 62% 52–60 ✓
Maine @ Canisius -8.8 137.3 17% 84–79 ✓
Stony Brook @ Rider +8.0 131.8 77% 72–55 ✗
Xavier @ Cincinnati +10.4 140.7 80% 65–68 ✓
Murray State @ Western Kentucky +3.7 139.8 66% 76–81 ✓
Tulsa @ UCF +10.3 146.3 85% 75–88 ✓
Texas State @ Florida Atlantic +6.8 150.8 73% 80–89 ✓
Charlotte @ Georgia State +2.5 141.4 62% 77–63 ✗
Dartmouth @ UMass Lowell +9.2 150.3 80% 83–92 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Longwood +6.3 142.9 73% 77–70 ✗
App State @ High Point +3.0 132.1 62% 59–65 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville +11.0 145.4 85% 61–78 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ South Carolina +19.6 151.9 91% 53–73 ✓
Queens University @ Gardner-Webb +8.8 148.9 81% 85–83 ✗
Fordham @ Bryant +1.6 155.0 58% 86–84 ✗
Georgetown @ Syracuse +2.1 148.3 56% 75–71 ✗
Wisconsin @ Butler -2.2 143.4 42% 83–74 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona -1.0 139.3 43% 57–54 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Howard -1.3 142.0 42% 83–88 ✗
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +11.0 147.4 86% 68–77 ✓
Ball State @ Bellarmine +1.6 144.2 48% 86–82 ✗
Northwestern State @ California +7.0 143.7 76% 66–84 ✓
Seton Hall @ Rutgers +10.7 135.9 86% 63–66 ✓
NC State @ Kansas +13.3 139.8 87% 60–75 ✓
Arizona State @ Florida +8.4 149.3 76% 66–83 ✓
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +20.8 149.7 90% 46–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ Valparaiso +0.4 143.0 43% 77–93 ✓
South Florida @ Utah State +17.4 149.4 90% 67–88 ✓
Wagner @ NJIT -0.1 120.5 42% 50–43 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas +23.2 146.0 90% 57–82 ✓
Ohio @ Marshall +3.3 153.3 65% 70–79 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Pepperdine +3.4 142.3 62% 76–86 ✓
LSU @ SMU +4.0 150.9 62% 64–74 ✓
La Salle @ North Carolina +13.4 157.1 87% 67–93 ✓
Florida International @ Stetson -4.1 141.2 28% 81–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Lindenwood +1.7 141.3 53% 63–81 ✓
Bradley @ Santa Clara -0.1 144.1 45% 74–84 ✗
Tulane @ Florida State +11.4 143.6 86% 64–77 ✓
Utah Valley @ Jacksonville State +3.9 144.1 65% 66–70 ✓
Missouri State @ Washington State +14.1 147.4 88% 78–91 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Austin Peay +2.8 132.8 60% 65–60 ✗
UC Irvine @ Oregon State +4.4 133.2 60% 55–67 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Florida +3.1 144.8 65% 77–89 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ West Virginia +21.6 138.7 91% 61–84 ✓
Louisville @ Kentucky +13.0 155.4 88% 85–93 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Providence -2.0 124.6 42% 74–70 ✓
Tennessee @ Illinois +3.9 140.8 52% 66–64 ✗
McNeese @ Mississippi State +10.7 143.0 85% 63–66 ✓
Towson @ Duquesne -0.3 126.6 48% 47–65 ✗
Saint Francis @ Niagara +2.5 138.5 60% 66–69 ✓
Belmont @ Richmond -2.0 149.0 37% 93–86 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Georgia +12.8 147.2 85% 68–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.