Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | RID -275 STBK +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +17 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | RID -11.1 (-28.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -9.0 (-26.0) | 131.0 (-4.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RID -9.3 (-26.3) | 131.8 (-4.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -8.0 (-25.0) | 131.8 (-4.8) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RID -7.3 (-24.3) | 130.6 (-3.6) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2023 | STBK 55 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-9 |
| Away | 8-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#279) | -12.8 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#250) | -1.93 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#267) | -3.77 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#235) | 0.446 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | STBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 61.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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