Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | JXST -155 UVU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +4 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | JXST -4.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -4.2 (-0.2) | 145.9 (-9.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -4.0 (-0.0) | 145.1 (-9.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -3.9 (+0.1) | 144.1 (-8.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -2.6 (+1.4) | 142.2 (-6.2) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-1 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-0 |
| Away | 8-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#150) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.79 (#240) | 0.10 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#234) | -0.30 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#217) | 0.519 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.3% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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