Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -1500 OMA +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +20 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -15.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -14.3 (+5.7) | 138.2 (-2.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -15.4 (+4.6) | 138.7 (-2.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -16.9 (+3.1) | 139.2 (-3.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -14.2 (+5.8) | 137.0 (-1.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#86) | -5.6 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#121) | -1.40 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#116) | -2.02 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#100) | 0.399 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.9% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 41.2% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 30.6 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 21.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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