Betting Lines
| Spread | WSU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | WSU -800 MOST +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WSU +13 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -15.4 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WSU -13.2 (-0.2) | 148.2 (+20.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WSU -14.4 (-1.4) | 146.8 (+22.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WSU -14.1 (-1.1) | 147.4 (+21.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -12.8 (+0.2) | 150.0 (+19.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WSU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 2-18 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#62) | -2.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#42) | -0.46 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.15 (#43) | -0.27 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#39) | 0.484 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WSU | MOST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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