Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | GAST -130 CLT +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +14 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | GAST -3.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -2.1 (-16.1) | 140.3 (-0.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -2.6 (-16.6) | 141.9 (-1.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -2.5 (-16.5) | 141.4 (-1.4) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -1.0 (-15.0) | 140.9 (-0.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 25, 2023 | CLT 65 – 57 GAST |
| Dec 4, 2020 | GAST 76 – 65 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GAST | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 3-11 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#274) | -4.9 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#248) | -1.06 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#261) | -1.34 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#267) | 0.451 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GAST | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 34.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.7% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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