Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -800 WMU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -11.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -12.1 (-6.1) | 148.0 (-0.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -12.5 (-6.5) | 148.6 (-0.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -13.5 (-7.5) | 148.7 (-0.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -11.9 (-5.9) | 147.8 (+0.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 1, 2023 | STMN 65 – 51 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-0 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#102) | -3.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#132) | -1.61 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#111) | -2.14 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#147) | 0.415 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.6% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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