Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | WMU -140 STMN +118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +14 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -5.2 (-19.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -2.3 (-16.3) | 129.4 (-13.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -3.3 (-17.3) | 130.1 (-14.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -3.1 (-17.1) | 130.6 (-14.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -0.8 (-14.8) | 127.1 (-11.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | STMN 77 – 71 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#212) | -0.9 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#263) | -0.67 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.00 (#282) | -0.97 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#248) | 0.429 (#275) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | STMN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.4% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 22.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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