Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -23.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | WVU -50000 BCU +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +23 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -24.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -22.7 (+0.3) | 141.9 (+3.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -23.4 (-0.4) | 138.2 (+6.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -21.6 (+1.4) | 138.7 (+6.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -20.2 (+2.8) | 144.2 (+0.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.2 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 13.8 (#32) | -6.7 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#37) | -1.27 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#32) | -1.63 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#31) | 0.434 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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