I love it when you call me Big Poppa "Big Poppa" - Notorious B.I.G.
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–12 on winners spread MAE 8.0 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -10.7 135.3 16% 65–66 ✗
Iowa State @ West Virginia +3.5 137.7 67% 71–76 ✓
Memphis @ South Florida -5.1 153.1 27% 99–81 ✓
Lehigh @ Colgate +9.4 143.4 82% 53–81 ✓
American University @ Boston University +0.1 131.0 47% 54–60 ✓
Belmont @ Missouri State +1.5 138.9 60% 59–61 ✓
Valparaiso @ Indiana State +13.5 150.5 87% 62–84 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State -1.7 149.0 43% 76–67 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +1.3 139.2 59% 68–70 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia Tech +11.5 139.8 87% 82–76 ✗
Vermont @ Maine -1.7 137.9 42% 74–65 ✓
NJIT @ UMBC +7.9 144.9 80% 63–72 ✓
Bryant @ UAlbany -8.0 150.7 22% 87–62 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +4.2 132.1 67% 66–64 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy +8.9 136.3 81% 65–71 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington +0.5 145.1 53% 105–107 ✓
Massachusetts @ Fordham +5.0 145.3 74% 67–77 ✓
La Salle @ St. Bonaventure +5.3 134.8 72% 76–70 ✗
George Mason @ Duquesne +5.0 140.3 71% 52–75 ✓
Presbyterian @ Longwood +11.0 131.5 87% 46–66 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate +1.7 141.5 55% 60–77 ✓
High Point @ Campbell +4.5 146.3 70% 66–82 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +4.1 147.4 67% 95–91 ✗
Samford @ Mercer -1.5 142.2 43% 70–69 ✓
Furman @ VMI -12.5 149.3 14% 94–63 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +9.9 147.2 83% 63–82 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +14.3 152.8 89% 71–103 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +9.6 139.6 82% 61–93 ✓
Elon @ North Carolina A&T +4.8 144.3 71% 61–66 ✓
Hampton @ Towson +13.3 142.1 88% 72–86 ✓
Drexel @ Delaware +1.6 135.7 56% 58–54 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Hartford -4.9 129.7 28% 82–73 ✓
Tulsa @ Houston +21.6 137.9 91% 42–80 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +15.9 150.6 89% 62–74 ✓
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State +6.5 139.6 77% 68–71 ✓
UCF @ Wichita State -0.2 136.4 48% 72–67 ✓
Temple @ SMU -1.8 142.4 43% 71–72 ✗
UIC @ Southern Illinois +10.1 130.3 85% 66–68 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Evansville -8.1 142.0 20% 59–71 ✗
Bradley @ Illinois State -7.0 136.2 24% 79–61 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +9.1 139.6 82% 55–71 ✓
DePaul @ Villanova +8.2 141.7 78% 65–81 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State +5.0 131.2 68% 79–74 ✗
Florida @ Alabama +13.2 149.9 86% 69–97 ✓
Oklahoma @ Baylor +10.1 142.0 84% 72–82 ✓
LSU @ Mississippi State +9.2 128.4 80% 53–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago +0.4 141.7 51% 83–71 ✗
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +5.7 149.0 75% 67–78 ✓
San Diego State @ Utah State +2.9 147.1 62% 63–61 ✗
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +5.0 145.3 72% 71–75 ✓
UNLV @ Wyoming -3.5 146.3 35% 69–59 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn -3.1 127.2 37% 62–64 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis +0.4 148.5 54% 76–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.