They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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55–16 on winners spread MAE 7.2 71 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ Merrimack +5.7 129.2 65% 61–64 ✓
Army @ George Washington +8.4 153.5 80% 60–75 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana Tech +11.3 146.0 84% 63–77 ✓
North Dakota @ UTSA +6.6 149.2 72% 76–80 ✓
Indiana @ Nebraska +3.1 149.9 63% 68–85 ✓
Omaha @ Northern Iowa +15.4 138.7 88% 58–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +12.5 148.6 86% 71–77 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Tech +1.4 141.7 55% 73–71 ✗
South Dakota State @ Colorado +6.1 142.1 73% 70–81 ✓
Memphis @ Clemson +7.6 141.2 76% 87–82 ✗
Texas A&M @ Purdue +3.5 140.0 67% 70–66 ✗
Western Illinois @ South Dakota +10.2 154.2 83% 66–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Furman +11.5 131.5 85% 64–68 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri +24.5 145.2 91% 61–88 ✓
Coppin State @ Penn State +34.3 145.7 91% 51–99 ✓
Ohio State @ Auburn +11.3 156.1 84% 53–91 ✓
Toledo @ Youngstown State +2.7 144.7 61% 87–93 ✓
Lamar @ Louisiana -3.9 139.5 37% 74–45 ✓
Wichita State @ DePaul +6.4 147.0 76% 72–91 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville +2.2 147.7 60% 52–60 ✓
Maine @ Canisius -8.8 137.2 18% 84–79 ✓
Stony Brook @ Rider +9.3 131.8 77% 72–55 ✗
Xavier @ Cincinnati +9.9 141.6 81% 65–68 ✓
Murray State @ Western Kentucky +4.0 141.4 65% 76–81 ✓
Tulsa @ UCF +10.7 146.5 83% 75–88 ✓
Texas State @ Florida Atlantic +6.7 149.9 72% 80–89 ✓
Charlotte @ Georgia State +2.6 141.9 60% 77–63 ✗
Dartmouth @ UMass Lowell +8.8 152.1 80% 83–92 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Longwood +6.4 144.2 71% 77–70 ✗
App State @ High Point +2.5 131.7 63% 59–65 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville +11.5 144.3 85% 61–78 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ South Carolina +21.2 152.3 91% 53–73 ✓
Queens University @ Gardner-Webb +9.4 148.4 81% 85–83 ✗
Fordham @ Bryant +1.8 155.1 51% 86–84 ✗
Georgetown @ Syracuse +1.3 148.8 48% 75–71 ✗
Wisconsin @ Butler -1.7 145.5 40% 83–74 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona -0.2 140.7 40% 57–54 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Howard -0.9 142.3 47% 83–88 ✗
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +11.4 146.9 82% 68–77 ✓
Ball State @ Bellarmine +1.4 146.1 44% 86–82 ✗
Northwestern State @ California +7.3 143.6 78% 66–84 ✓
Seton Hall @ Rutgers +11.4 134.2 84% 63–66 ✓
NC State @ Kansas +14.9 140.2 87% 60–75 ✓
Arizona State @ Florida +7.8 148.2 77% 66–83 ✓
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +23.0 149.9 90% 46–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ Valparaiso -0.1 143.1 54% 77–93 ✗
South Florida @ Utah State +18.6 150.0 89% 67–88 ✓
Wagner @ NJIT +0.6 122.9 36% 50–43 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas +26.1 148.7 90% 57–82 ✓
Ohio @ Marshall +3.5 154.1 69% 70–79 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Pepperdine +3.6 142.6 64% 76–86 ✓
LSU @ SMU +4.0 152.1 68% 64–74 ✓
La Salle @ North Carolina +13.1 158.6 87% 67–93 ✓
Florida International @ Stetson -3.2 142.2 28% 81–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Lindenwood +1.5 141.5 48% 63–81 ✓
Bradley @ Santa Clara +0.4 144.3 51% 74–84 ✓
Tulane @ Florida State +12.4 144.3 85% 64–77 ✓
Utah Valley @ Jacksonville State +4.0 145.1 65% 66–70 ✓
Missouri State @ Washington State +14.4 146.8 87% 78–91 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Austin Peay +3.0 133.4 61% 65–60 ✗
UC Irvine @ Oregon State +3.7 132.6 74% 55–67 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Florida +3.3 144.9 65% 77–89 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ West Virginia +23.4 138.2 91% 61–84 ✓
Louisville @ Kentucky +14.1 154.4 86% 85–93 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Providence -1.4 126.8 37% 74–70 ✓
Tennessee @ Illinois +3.6 141.8 60% 66–64 ✗
McNeese @ Mississippi State +9.8 144.1 83% 63–66 ✓
Towson @ Duquesne -0.7 127.6 51% 47–65 ✗
Saint Francis @ Niagara +2.4 139.0 58% 66–69 ✓
Belmont @ Richmond -2.0 150.2 41% 93–86 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Georgia +14.2 148.1 84% 68–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.