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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
5–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.3
7 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Campbell
@
The Citadel
|
-0.5 | 133.2 | 35% | 86–58 | ✓ |
North Carolina A&T
@
Virginia Tech
|
+9.3 | 138.9 | 78% | 67–95 | ✓ |
Bethune-Cookman
@
Virginia
|
+11.3 | 128.0 | 83% | 41–59 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Iowa
|
+0.4 | 155.4 | 52% | 89–80 | ✗ |
UT Arlington
@
Arkansas State
|
+8.8 | 149.4 | 81% | 79–83 | ✓ |
Chattanooga
@
Evansville
|
+2.0 | 143.8 | 53% | 75–67 | ✗ |
New Mexico State
@
Texas
|
+15.2 | 139.8 | 87% | 67–91 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.