Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +110 UTC -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | EVAN -2.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -2.3 (-10.3) | 143.7 (-1.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -2.0 (-10.0) | 143.8 (-1.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -2.0 (-10.0) | 143.2 (-1.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EVAN -1.5 (-9.5) | 143.3 (-1.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2023 | EVAN 85 – 77 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-11 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.1 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#290) | -4.4 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#276) | -0.34 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.89 (#226) | -0.52 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#287) | 0.465 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 20.6% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.