Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -19.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -3000 NMSU +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +24 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -16.8 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -17.1 (+6.9) | 142.0 (+16.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -15.2 (+8.8) | 139.8 (+18.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -15.1 (+8.9) | 139.0 (+19.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -17.9 (+6.1) | 142.6 (+15.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 10.4 (#52) | -2.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#89) | -1.00 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#86) | -1.35 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#129) | 0.449 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.