You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–18 on winners spread MAE 9.0 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ Tennessee +5.3 151.1 76% 84–92 ✓
Providence @ Marquette +9.8 148.5 84% 69–91 ✓
Louisville @ Duke +20.0 152.5 91% 59–84 ✓
North Texas @ Tulane +0.0 142.5 34% 80–76 ✗
Presbyterian @ South Carolina Upstate +1.0 143.8 57% 72–74 ✓
Winthrop @ High Point +6.5 155.7 77% 96–100 ✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern -2.8 140.3 41% 57–58 ✗
Northwestern @ Maryland +3.0 134.3 58% 68–61 ✗
Stetson @ Jacksonville -1.2 139.9 39% 86–73 ✓
DePaul @ Xavier +19.8 149.1 90% 58–91 ✓
Colgate @ Holy Cross -11.4 135.8 14% 77–58 ✓
Lafayette @ Navy +0.4 131.0 51% 58–62 ✓
La Salle @ Duquesne +9.0 142.5 81% 63–75 ✓
Bucknell @ Loyola Maryland -1.9 131.9 33% 68–46 ✓
Mercer @ Chattanooga +8.1 146.0 81% 75–84 ✓
Furman @ Western Carolina +4.6 145.4 66% 77–85 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel +1.2 137.0 55% 81–63 ✗
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +19.1 145.5 90% 58–100 ✓
Samford @ Wofford -6.6 157.8 23% 69–91 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris -1.8 144.2 40% 70–60 ✓
Milwaukee @ IU Indianapolis -11.4 150.7 14% 75–70 ✓
Green Bay @ Cleveland State +4.6 142.4 75% 69–61 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Wright State +3.2 168.8 65% 79–77 ✗
James Madison @ Georgia State -7.4 149.4 19% 84–78 ✓
Marshall @ Georgia Southern +0.5 149.7 54% 73–87 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida +2.2 144.8 60% 79–60 ✗
Arkansas State @ Coastal Carolina -6.4 156.4 25% 71–60 ✓
Oklahoma @ Iowa State +9.0 139.2 83% 45–58 ✓
California @ Colorado +11.4 155.8 85% 78–88 ✓
UCF @ Oklahoma State +0.3 143.1 44% 77–71 ✗
Tulsa @ UTSA -0.9 153.2 51% 73–89 ✗
Wichita State @ UAB +6.5 146.4 77% 74–66 ✗
Temple @ Rice +2.8 147.6 66% 65–43 ✗
Drake @ UIC -7.1 149.4 23% 107–105 ✓
Belmont @ Murray State +1.7 153.0 58% 83–61 ✗
Missouri State @ Illinois State +2.3 136.2 67% 74–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Evansville -10.4 154.8 19% 85–67 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +6.0 137.5 74% 67–86 ✓
Richmond @ Saint Louis -6.4 149.4 25% 80–64 ✓
Bellarmine @ Lipscomb +10.4 149.6 86% 74–90 ✓
Southern Miss @ South Alabama +2.1 145.8 64% 70–73 ✓
Troy @ Louisiana +2.7 147.1 65% 87–73 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Austin Peay +2.7 151.5 64% 79–83 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky -1.3 142.5 46% 90–84 ✓
South Carolina @ Texas A&M +2.3 136.6 55% 70–68 ✗
St. John's @ Butler +1.9 149.0 60% 82–59 ✗
Seton Hall @ Creighton +10.3 146.0 85% 64–85 ✓
Minnesota @ Illinois +11.6 159.5 87% 97–105 ✓
Alabama @ Ole Miss -7.2 162.4 25% 103–88 ✓
Virginia @ Boston College +0.2 132.0 39% 72–68 ✗
Arizona @ Arizona State -13.8 160.3 14% 85–67 ✓
Oregon State @ Oregon +10.8 137.8 86% 71–78 ✓
Maine @ Binghamton -0.2 133.0 52% 74–76 ✗
Nebraska @ Ohio State +0.6 141.4 50% 69–78 ✓
Bryant @ UMass Lowell +4.7 154.1 74% 67–89 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.