Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–16 on winners spread MAE 12.2 50 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Memphis @ East Carolina -3.7 144.1 31% 82–58 ✓
Longwood @ Gardner-Webb +0.8 147.2 57% 69–72 ✓
William & Mary @ Elon +2.9 140.4 67% 71–76 ✓
Towson @ North Carolina A&T -10.3 132.1 16% 84–58 ✓
Stony Brook @ Drexel +7.9 141.6 78% 86–90 ✓
Northeastern @ Delaware +5.2 138.9 74% 67–73 ✓
Monmouth @ Hampton -7.5 147.6 26% 56–64 ✗
Hofstra @ UNC Wilmington +4.3 146.3 68% 69–58 ✗
Campbell @ Charleston +13.1 150.6 88% 73–96 ✓
Merrimack @ Fairleigh Dickinson -4.1 145.3 26% 74–55 ✓
Long Island University @ Central Connecticut +10.7 141.8 86% 64–78 ✓
Wagner @ Le Moyne +1.6 130.4 57% 56–70 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Stonehill -4.5 141.0 29% 79–51 ✓
UMBC @ NJIT -0.5 150.0 38% 79–60 ✓
New Hampshire @ UAlbany +0.9 156.8 55% 67–91 ✓
UTEP @ Jacksonville State +4.0 134.5 66% 72–65 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State +16.4 141.0 90% 50–72 ✓
South Dakota State @ North Dakota -0.6 150.5 45% 72–62 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -2.5 153.9 43% 68–88 ✗
Omaha @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +5.6 142.9 74% 61–88 ✓
Stanford @ Utah +8.3 156.6 79% 68–90 ✓
Michigan @ Rutgers +5.2 138.9 73% 52–82 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin +9.6 148.2 84% 69–80 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southern Indiana +7.4 143.5 77% 67–63 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Western Illinois +4.8 131.6 68% 66–70 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Utah +1.8 149.6 57% 77–68 ✗
Santa Clara @ Portland -9.5 149.7 19% 75–80 ✗
Tennessee State @ Little Rock +5.1 144.2 75% 60–85 ✓
Kansas City @ Denver +2.3 157.9 53% 84–69 ✗
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech -4.7 143.5 30% 85–74 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Grand Canyon +19.5 151.6 91% 43–72 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis -0.0 140.6 46% 63–75 ✗
New Mexico State @ Liberty +12.3 138.5 87% 58–83 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +5.2 152.3 73% 81–85 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +6.0 140.2 74% 92–88 ✗
Montana State @ Idaho +0.5 141.5 47% 62–48 ✗
Montana @ Eastern Washington +2.4 154.9 67% 79–89 ✓
San Diego @ Loyola Marymount +3.9 146.2 68% 62–96 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ California Baptist +0.6 136.5 47% 62–60 ✗
UT Arlington @ Seattle U +6.1 147.4 74% 82–62 ✗
UC Irvine @ Cal State Northridge -5.2 148.3 30% 89–64 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Long Beach State +6.3 142.9 76% 76–71 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal State Bakersfield -4.7 142.3 29% 57–70 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +10.7 136.8 86% 75–83 ✓
USC @ Washington State +9.8 143.1 84% 72–75 ✓
UCLA @ Washington +5.7 139.4 71% 77–94 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Pepperdine -15.5 139.1 12% 83–57 ✓
Gonzaga @ San Francisco +0.1 151.0 44% 86–68 ✗
Bowling Green @ Ohio +6.0 147.2 77% 59–66 ✓
Arkansas State @ App State +9.5 150.3 85% 57–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.