That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
West Coast Conference · Gersten Pavilion · March 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread LMU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money LMU -350 / USD +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total LMU win
Actual LMU +34 158 Won
Massey LMU -7.1 (+26.9)
Massey Totals 146.7 (+11.3)
Bradley-Terry 47%
Weighted B-T 49%
Efficiency Plus ML LMU -4.9 (+29.1) 145.7 (+12.3) 70%
Baseline Tuned ML LMU -4.0 (+30.0) 145.7 (+12.3) 67%
Baseline ML LMU -3.9 (+30.1) 146.2 (+11.8) 68%
Baseline Plus ML LMU -5.0 (+29.0) 147.1 (+10.9) 69%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 6, 2026 USD 6662 LMU
Feb 21, 2026 LMU 7765 USD
Feb 8, 2026 LMU 8363 USD
Mar 8, 2025 LMU 10074 USD
Feb 1, 2025 LMU 7862 USD

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LMU USD
Overall 12-19 18-15
Conference 5-11 7-9
Home 8-8 12-6
Away 2-7 4-7
Neutral 2-4 2-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.2 72.5
Avg Pts Against 71.5 78.1
Massey -0.7 (#172) -4.4 (#255)
Bradley-Terry -0.65 (#244) 0.10 (#159)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.73 (#237) -0.02 (#168)
RPI 0.458 (#264) 0.492 (#191)
Shooting & Four Factors LMU USD
FG% 43.8% 44.2%
3PT% 36.1% 35.3%
REB / G 34.4 34.3
OREB / G 9.8 9.6
AST / TO 1.05 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 50.1%
TOV% 16.4% 18.9%
ORB% 29.2% 27.2%
FT Rate 21.7% 23.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 52.3%
Opp TOV% 12.6% 17.3%
DRB% 72.8% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 25.4%

Game Analysis

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