Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO +100 MTST +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +14 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -0.9 (-14.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (-30.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -0.4 (-14.4) | 140.7 (-30.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -0.6 (-13.4) | 138.8 (-28.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -0.7 (-14.7) | 139.6 (-29.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -0.5 (-14.5) | 141.5 (-31.5) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 74 MTST |
| Feb 6, 2026 | MTST 73 – 66 IDHO |
| Jan 10, 2026 | IDHO 92 – 89 MTST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MTST 75 – 60 IDHO |
| Jan 3, 2025 | IDHO 69 – 64 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 17-18 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-10 | 10-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#295) | -5.2 (#268) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#284) | -0.76 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#290) | -0.91 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#299) | 0.455 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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