Look out honey, 'cause I'm using technology "Search and Destroy" - Iggy and the Stooges
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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37–17 on winners spread MAE 8.1 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Southern Illinois @ Illinois State -5.8 134.8 25% 71–64 ✓
Nevada @ Fresno State -10.2 137.9 16% 72–57 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Elon +5.8 154.1 73% 59–77 ✓
Furman @ Chattanooga +1.2 158.6 62% 58–73 ✓
Northwestern State @ Lamar +14.8 155.0 89% 70–90 ✓
North Florida @ Florida Gulf Coast +5.5 138.4 71% 78–58 ✗
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky -2.0 140.0 41% 59–69 ✗
UC Riverside @ Long Beach State +7.9 150.3 79% 75–83 ✓
Alabama State @ Mississippi Valley State -10.5 124.2 14% 54–51 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +12.7 160.3 84% 73–92 ✓
Texas Tech @ Texas +4.6 139.7 61% 78–67 ✗
Colorado @ Arizona State -2.2 144.4 41% 73–76 ✗
Valparaiso @ UIC +10.5 134.5 86% 64–70 ✓
Ohio State @ Indiana -2.9 147.3 42% 65–71 ✗
Pacific @ Portland +9.7 143.5 84% 64–78 ✓
Omaha @ Idaho State -0.0 140.8 53% 62–63 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana +10.1 145.4 85% 77–85 ✓
Portland State @ Kansas City -0.7 139.4 52% 67–83 ✗
Denver @ Northern Colorado +0.5 166.0 66% 82–86 ✓
Weber State @ Oral Roberts -3.3 144.8 35% 83–78 ✓
Sacramento State @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +14.4 132.1 87% 50–63 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Northridge +4.6 140.3 72% 66–76 ✓
Central Arkansas @ North Alabama +10.1 148.3 82% 84–81 ✗
LSU @ Texas A&M +11.5 145.6 83% 68–53 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Southern Indiana +3.3 137.4 58% 73–59 ✗
Colorado State @ Utah State +2.7 148.0 68% 72–77 ✓
San Diego @ Gonzaga +15.3 147.5 87% 74–101 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Loyola Marymount -8.5 130.4 17% 68–64 ✓
South Dakota @ Montana +13.2 152.4 88% 63–82 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Utah Tech -11.1 150.1 15% 75–65 ✓
UC San Diego @ Cal State Fullerton -1.2 134.6 46% 76–58 ✓
Cincinnati @ BYU +12.9 149.6 86% 71–60 ✗
Oregon @ Washington State +3.5 139.4 63% 89–84 ✗
California @ UCLA +5.5 136.3 71% 66–57 ✗
Wyoming @ New Mexico +15.3 150.9 87% 60–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine -3.3 140.0 36% 78–72 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal Poly -2.2 142.8 41% 61–52 ✓
Michigan @ Penn State -1.5 155.2 39% 73–79 ✗
Wichita State @ Temple +0.7 143.3 50% 61–68 ✓
Massachusetts @ Dayton +7.9 149.9 78% 60–64 ✓
Niagara @ Iona +8.8 142.6 79% 75–73 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +18.3 144.3 91% 65–75 ✓
Manhattan @ Quinnipiac +10.0 144.1 84% 59–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Saint Peter's +4.8 131.9 69% 64–70 ✓
Marist @ Fairfield +1.6 132.2 64% 61–82 ✓
Canisius @ Rider -4.4 147.8 33% 76–79 ✗
South Florida @ UAB +0.6 150.2 57% 71–75 ✓
Tulsa @ East Carolina +0.2 137.4 50% 57–62 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -2.3 156.8 37% 77–66 ✓
Drake @ Belmont -2.1 151.0 38% 65–87 ✗
Chicago State @ UTEP +5.7 130.1 64% 69–74 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State +5.8 146.8 74% 85–88 ✓
SMU @ Memphis +3.1 143.5 70% 59–62 ✓
Maryland @ Minnesota +5.9 135.8 70% 62–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.