You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–13 on winners spread MAE 8.0 53 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -11.8 136.0 21% 65–66 ✗
Iowa State @ West Virginia +3.4 137.3 73% 71–76 ✓
Memphis @ South Florida -4.5 154.5 27% 99–81 ✓
Lehigh @ Colgate +9.7 143.6 81% 53–81 ✓
American University @ Boston University -0.3 131.4 54% 54–60 ✗
Belmont @ Missouri State +1.3 140.4 56% 59–61 ✓
Valparaiso @ Indiana State +13.1 150.4 87% 62–84 ✓
Syracuse @ Florida State -2.4 149.8 40% 76–67 ✓
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +1.3 140.2 56% 68–70 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia Tech +11.3 140.1 85% 82–76 ✗
Vermont @ Maine -1.7 139.2 36% 74–65 ✓
NJIT @ UMBC +7.3 145.3 79% 63–72 ✓
Bryant @ UAlbany -7.4 151.4 22% 87–62 ✓
Binghamton @ New Hampshire +4.1 132.8 68% 66–64 ✗
Bucknell @ Navy +8.3 136.2 81% 65–71 ✓
Richmond @ George Washington -0.1 146.4 50% 105–107 ✗
Massachusetts @ Fordham +5.4 146.4 73% 67–77 ✓
La Salle @ St. Bonaventure +5.2 134.6 70% 76–70 ✗
George Mason @ Duquesne +5.3 139.4 74% 52–75 ✓
Presbyterian @ Longwood +10.6 131.6 87% 46–66 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina Upstate +1.4 142.1 54% 60–77 ✓
High Point @ Campbell +4.5 147.3 72% 66–82 ✓
Western Carolina @ Wofford +3.2 149.4 67% 95–91 ✗
Samford @ Mercer -2.0 142.5 42% 70–69 ✓
Furman @ VMI -12.2 151.0 14% 94–63 ✓
The Citadel @ Chattanooga +9.4 147.2 82% 63–82 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Wright State +15.6 154.1 88% 71–103 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Charleston +9.4 139.2 81% 61–93 ✓
Elon @ North Carolina A&T +4.6 144.5 67% 61–66 ✓
Hampton @ Towson +13.4 141.4 87% 72–86 ✓
Drexel @ Delaware +1.0 136.6 53% 58–54 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Hartford -4.6 128.9 24% 82–73 ✓
Tulsa @ Houston +26.5 138.6 91% 42–80 ✓
Georgetown @ Providence +15.9 152.3 88% 62–74 ✓
Texas Tech @ Oklahoma State +7.1 140.7 80% 68–71 ✓
UCF @ Wichita State -0.5 136.4 38% 72–67 ✓
Temple @ SMU -1.9 143.3 42% 71–72 ✗
UIC @ Southern Illinois +10.5 130.9 86% 66–68 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Evansville -8.6 143.2 20% 59–71 ✗
Bradley @ Illinois State -7.1 136.8 25% 79–61 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Valley +9.2 139.1 81% 55–71 ✓
DePaul @ Villanova +8.1 141.0 79% 65–81 ✓
Wisconsin @ Penn State +5.4 131.5 70% 79–74 ✗
Florida @ Alabama +11.7 150.1 88% 69–97 ✓
Oklahoma @ Baylor +9.7 142.5 85% 72–82 ✓
LSU @ Mississippi State +10.2 126.5 81% 53–64 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Loyola Chicago -0.1 142.8 49% 83–71 ✓
New Mexico State @ Grand Canyon +6.0 150.1 76% 67–78 ✓
San Diego State @ Utah State +2.7 147.8 68% 63–61 ✗
Utah Tech @ Seattle U +5.0 145.6 72% 71–75 ✓
UNLV @ Wyoming -3.7 146.9 35% 69–59 ✓
Wagner @ St. Francis Brooklyn -3.0 128.2 34% 62–64 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Saint Francis +0.2 150.0 55% 76–78 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.