Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
56–15 on winners spread MAE 7.0 71 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ Merrimack +6.4 128.9 75% 61–64 ✓
Army @ George Washington +10.4 156.8 83% 60–75 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana Tech +12.5 146.0 85% 63–77 ✓
North Dakota @ UTSA +6.0 149.3 69% 76–80 ✓
Indiana @ Nebraska +3.6 148.6 66% 68–85 ✓
Omaha @ Northern Iowa +14.3 138.2 86% 58–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +12.1 148.0 83% 71–77 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Tech +1.4 143.5 56% 73–71 ✗
South Dakota State @ Colorado +6.8 143.4 74% 70–81 ✓
Memphis @ Clemson +8.6 140.6 79% 87–82 ✗
Texas A&M @ Purdue +4.3 138.0 50% 70–66 ✗
Western Illinois @ South Dakota +11.7 153.0 84% 66–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Furman +11.2 133.9 83% 64–68 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri +25.3 146.1 91% 61–88 ✓
Coppin State @ Penn State +33.9 142.6 91% 51–99 ✓
Ohio State @ Auburn +12.5 154.7 83% 53–91 ✓
Toledo @ Youngstown State +2.3 145.5 63% 87–93 ✓
Lamar @ Louisiana -3.5 139.0 40% 74–45 ✓
Wichita State @ DePaul +7.0 150.1 70% 72–91 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville +2.0 145.7 62% 52–60 ✓
Maine @ Canisius -8.6 136.4 18% 84–79 ✓
Stony Brook @ Rider +9.0 131.0 78% 72–55 ✗
Xavier @ Cincinnati +9.9 140.6 77% 65–68 ✓
Murray State @ Western Kentucky +3.0 141.1 68% 76–81 ✓
Tulsa @ UCF +10.5 149.6 84% 75–88 ✓
Texas State @ Florida Atlantic +6.1 149.8 73% 80–89 ✓
Charlotte @ Georgia State +2.1 140.3 58% 77–63 ✗
Dartmouth @ UMass Lowell +8.7 154.0 78% 83–92 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Longwood +6.1 144.0 74% 77–70 ✗
App State @ High Point +3.4 129.7 68% 59–65 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville +12.4 145.8 85% 61–78 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ South Carolina +20.6 150.0 91% 53–73 ✓
Queens University @ Gardner-Webb +8.6 150.3 79% 85–83 ✗
Fordham @ Bryant +1.6 155.1 51% 86–84 ✗
Georgetown @ Syracuse +1.9 152.9 51% 75–71 ✗
Wisconsin @ Butler -1.6 143.1 39% 83–74 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona +0.2 143.1 45% 57–54 ✗
UNC Wilmington @ Howard -1.1 143.0 39% 83–88 ✗
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +11.0 147.3 82% 68–77 ✓
Ball State @ Bellarmine +0.9 145.9 46% 86–82 ✗
Northwestern State @ California +7.8 141.0 77% 66–84 ✓
Seton Hall @ Rutgers +11.6 133.7 84% 63–66 ✓
NC State @ Kansas +13.9 141.4 87% 60–75 ✓
Arizona State @ Florida +9.2 149.6 77% 66–83 ✓
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +23.0 150.6 90% 46–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ Valparaiso +0.1 141.7 53% 77–93 ✓
South Florida @ Utah State +19.7 150.4 90% 67–88 ✓
Wagner @ NJIT -0.0 120.3 32% 50–43 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas +25.7 147.2 91% 57–82 ✓
Ohio @ Marshall +3.3 155.0 67% 70–79 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Pepperdine +3.4 141.8 67% 76–86 ✓
LSU @ SMU +5.3 152.8 73% 64–74 ✓
La Salle @ North Carolina +13.3 160.0 85% 67–93 ✓
Florida International @ Stetson -4.1 146.2 25% 81–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Lindenwood +1.5 139.9 49% 63–81 ✓
Bradley @ Santa Clara +1.5 142.4 51% 74–84 ✓
Tulane @ Florida State +11.5 145.4 85% 64–77 ✓
Utah Valley @ Jacksonville State +4.2 145.9 67% 66–70 ✓
Missouri State @ Washington State +13.2 148.2 86% 78–91 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Austin Peay +3.1 134.9 60% 65–60 ✗
UC Irvine @ Oregon State +3.9 130.3 74% 55–67 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Florida +2.9 148.7 63% 77–89 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ West Virginia +22.7 141.9 91% 61–84 ✓
Louisville @ Kentucky +14.2 156.8 86% 85–93 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Providence -0.1 126.3 38% 74–70 ✓
Tennessee @ Illinois +3.8 140.6 50% 66–64 ✗
McNeese @ Mississippi State +9.2 142.2 84% 63–66 ✓
Towson @ Duquesne -1.1 128.0 50% 47–65 ✗
Saint Francis @ Niagara +3.1 136.9 64% 66–69 ✓
Belmont @ Richmond -2.1 150.7 39% 93–86 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Georgia +12.2 150.2 84% 68–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.