You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–16 on winners spread MAE 9.4 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
TCU @ Texas Tech +11.1 149.4 84% 73–65 ✗
Wake Forest @ Virginia +12.6 153.3 87% 70–75 ✓
Clemson @ North Carolina +4.4 141.1 66% 63–67 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +15.5 151.4 92% 69–72 ✓
Toledo @ Miami (OH) +9.5 166.4 81% 72–74 ✓
George Mason @ VCU +9.6 148.2 81% 65–70 ✓
Dayton @ Richmond -2.8 149.1 40% 65–60 ✓
Oklahoma State @ UCF +6.8 172.4 73% 111–104 ✗
Seton Hall @ Xavier -1.9 142.8 43% 77–68 ✓
Ohio @ Massachusetts +4.9 161.9 67% 82–94 ✓
Ball State @ Western Michigan +4.9 138.4 67% 74–71 ✗
Akron @ Central Michigan -13.3 162.4 11% 77–64 ✓
UAlbany @ Vermont +8.7 143.0 78% 56–69 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Elon -4.3 151.1 35% 76–57 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +7.1 159.7 74% 72–90 ✓
Hampton @ William & Mary +12.7 152.3 88% 85–94 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +10.6 133.0 83% 51–62 ✓
Monmouth @ Northeastern -2.8 152.8 40% 89–83 ✓
Missouri @ Oklahoma +2.9 156.9 60% 64–80 ✓
Kentucky @ Texas A&M -0.7 163.4 47% 85–96 ✗
Holy Cross @ Lafayette +3.8 139.1 64% 82–77 ✗
Army @ Bucknell +3.0 147.8 61% 55–65 ✓
Mississippi State @ Florida +23.3 157.3 98% 74–108 ✓
West Virginia @ Kansas State -1.8 143.8 44% 63–65 ✗
Kent State @ Northern Illinois -9.1 153.8 20% 102–76 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay +5.5 147.6 69% 56–64 ✓
UL Monroe @ Old Dominion +11.9 161.9 86% 80–87 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Jackson State -1.5 159.6 45% 78–81 ✗
BYU @ Cincinnati -2.7 151.5 40% 68–90 ✗
Southern @ Alabama State +0.9 158.2 53% 71–64 ✗
Kansas @ Arizona State -7.7 149.6 24% 60–70 ✗
Oregon @ Illinois +20.5 148.7 97% 54–80 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss -8.8 154.7 21% 89–86 ✓
Syracuse @ Louisville +15.5 160.5 92% 62–77 ✓
San José State @ Fresno State +9.7 145.2 81% 68–82 ✓
Colorado @ Utah -0.4 158.2 48% 92–78 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State +1.1 148.7 54% 77–86 ✓
Boston College @ Virginia Tech +12.5 141.8 87% 63–72 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Air Force -19.8 134.9 4% 86–60 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alcorn State +11.7 144.6 86% 64–67 ✓
Grambling @ Alabama A&M +1.3 136.4 55% 63–77 ✓
Nevada @ Wyoming -0.4 147.1 49% 73–83 ✗
LSU @ Auburn +6.5 163.8 72% 74–88 ✓
Nebraska @ UCLA -3.0 142.7 39% 52–72 ✗
Utah State @ UNLV -11.1 165.2 16% 65–92 ✗
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +1.3 148.4 55% 79–82 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +7.6 148.4 76% 58–69 ✓
Stetson @ Eastern Kentucky +4.2 157.8 65% 92–76 ✗
Creighton @ Butler +3.7 158.2 63% 76–59 ✗
Louisiana @ James Madison +6.4 133.6 72% 72–87 ✓
Fordham @ La Salle -0.5 125.9 48% 84–87 ✗
Minnesota @ Indiana +6.9 141.0 74% 47–77 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.