Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -410 TOL +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -9.6 (-7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -11.7 (-9.7) | 161.1 (-15.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -10.1 (-8.1) | 160.0 (-14.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -11.0 (-9.0) | 157.3 (-11.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -10.9 (-8.9) | 159.5 (-13.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2026 | M-OH 87 – 73 TOL |
| Feb 12, 2025 | M-OH 92 – 80 TOL |
| Mar 6, 2024 | TOL 97 – 63 M-OH |
| Jan 6, 2024 | TOL 68 – 64 M-OH |
| Mar 9, 2023 | TOL 91 – 75 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-2 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 11-7 |
| Home | 16-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 14-0 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.3 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#81) | 0.9 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.06 (#5) | 0.13 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.95 (#5) | 0.28 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#27) | 0.537 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 30.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.