Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -112 NEB -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +20 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -2.8 (+22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -2.9 (+22.9) | 140.6 (-16.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NEB -0.6 (+20.6) | 144.5 (-20.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NEB -2.4 (+22.4) | 138.0 (-14.0) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -1.8 (+21.8) | 140.3 (-16.3) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2025 | NEB 66 – 58 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 17-1 | 16-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#42) | 19.3 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#41) | 3.73 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.71 (#45) | 4.61 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#52) | 0.622 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.75 | 1.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 55.9% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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