Betting Lines
| Spread | MONM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | NE +154 MONM -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONM +6 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | MONM -2.9 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONM -3.6 (-2.4) | 147.8 (+24.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONM -1.8 (-4.2) | 147.2 (+24.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONM -2.9 (-3.1) | 145.7 (+26.3) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONM -3.1 (-2.9) | 147.9 (+24.1) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 19, 2026 | MONM 81 – 68 NE |
| Feb 25, 2025 | MONM 78 – 73 NE |
| Feb 10, 2024 | NE 77 – 65 MONM |
| Jan 9, 2024 | MONM 81 – 62 NE |
| Feb 17, 2023 | NE 77 – 62 MONM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-7 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#282) | -1.3 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#314) | -0.22 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#295) | -0.43 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#314) | 0.496 (#196) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | MONM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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