Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -1800 GTWN +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -16.0 (-13.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -15.8 (-12.8) | 148.0 (-7.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -14.6 (-11.6) | 145.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -13.5 (-10.5) | 145.2 (-4.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -14.6 (-11.6) | 146.1 (-5.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | SJU 95 – 83 GTWN |
| Jan 28, 2025 | SJU 66 – 41 GTWN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | SJU 63 – 58 GTWN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SJU 86 – 78 GTWN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | SJU 90 – 85 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-7 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 6-14 |
| Home | 18-2 | 10-7 |
| Away | 9-1 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#20) | 5.8 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#19) | 0.83 (#99) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#21) | 1.28 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#22) | 0.512 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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