Betting Lines
| Spread | SJU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SJU -600 GTWN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +5 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -11.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -10.2 (-5.2) | 139.6 (-18.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -12.4 (-7.4) | 139.8 (-18.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -10.0 (-5.0) | 138.3 (-17.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -9.2 (-4.2) | 138.0 (-17.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | SJU 72 – 69 GTWN |
| Jan 1, 2026 | SJU 95 – 83 GTWN |
| Jan 28, 2025 | SJU 66 – 41 GTWN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | SJU 86 – 78 GTWN |
| Feb 22, 2024 | SJU 90 – 85 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-5 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 8-12 |
| Home | 19-0 | 14-5 |
| Away | 8-2 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#25) | 8.1 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#33) | 1.53 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#25) | 1.74 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#30) | 0.560 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 44.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.